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Re: Why is the whole country still locked down?

Posted: Sun May 03, 2020 3:25 pm
by johnforbes
There is zero way to prove that distancing worked.

The contrary would seem true because of the extremely wide asymptomatic spread.

The lawsuit re HCQ summed up experience with its use -- 91 percent efficacy.

It has been used on 1 million people with no significant cardiac issues, although as with any drug you need to know the patient and use the proper dosing.

Re: Why is the whole country still locked down?

Posted: Sat May 09, 2020 10:59 pm
by RealJustme
It's now clear to everyone the lock down was based upon liberal "panic porn" time for everyone to get their asses back to work and the shut downs to end.

Coronavirus was nothing more than a new virus. So called scientists and the media wanted it be so much more have inflated the numbers of those may have died of the new virus to avoid losing face for the dire predictions. Most of the so called coronavirus deaths were probably flu related, which is the real killer.

Re: Why is the whole country still locked down?

Posted: Sun May 10, 2020 8:42 am
by johnforbes
Actually we don't know that at all.

All of the random testing has shown very wide asymptomatic spread, which drives the covid mortality rate down to about that of an ordinary bad flu year.

Also, it is unknown what the real covid death toll is because death WITH it is classified as death BECAUSE of it.

Re: Why is the whole country still locked down?

Posted: Sun May 10, 2020 9:03 am
by RealJustme
There is nothing mathematical or scientific about the mortality rate or number of deaths "caused" by COVID-19.

Germany has scientifically proven that the real infection rate is approximately 10 times higher than is being reported making the mortality rate 10 time less than reported.

Trump needs to put an end to this scam and just announce States that continue to stay shut down can not count on any financial aid from the Federal government for their decision to destroy their economies. The States needs to put all their effort into protecting the people who might die from a flu and put everyone else back to work. It's just another new nasty flu folks.

Re: Why is the whole country still locked down?

Posted: Sun May 10, 2020 10:41 am
by johnforbes
Large detailed studies of HCQ remain undone.

The VA "review" was an absurd mess, and this latest "observational" one is not a scientific one either.

Unlike Elkin and the other leftists who want people to die rather than try anything Trump mentioned, I'd like to know what the science is.

As to mortality rates, we have no idea what the covid rate is, although suggestions are about the same as a bad regular flu season.

We do know 33 million are unemployed, and that is a NEW public health crisis.

Re: Why is the whole country still locked down?

Posted: Sun May 10, 2020 11:21 am
by RealJustme
Big businesses and the government are the only ones who will profit from this COVID-19 scam. This is destroying small businesses, many which will never return, while insuring big businesses' monopoly. You government tyrants basking in their new power and authority to order citizens to give up rights for the good of the whole (socialism). They have established they can control the masses through fear, thus the constant "panic porn". You are witnessing Governors and Mayors letting real criminals out of prison for their safety while threatening to lock up law abiding citizens if they disobey their commands.

The new world order is hard at work and the have big businesses and the media on their side.

Re: Why is the whole country still locked down?

Posted: Sun May 10, 2020 3:58 pm
by johnforbes
The studies in NY and CA show that the actual infection rate may be 50 to 85 times than previously thought.

If that is confirmed by wider random testing, then everything we thought we knew about covid-19 will have to be reassessed.

Already, we know the mortality rate is about that of a regular bad flu year, and that is even with every other co-morbidity being ignored and almost every death being ascribed to the virus.

Re: Why is the whole country still locked down?

Posted: Sun May 10, 2020 4:04 pm
by Clownkicker
"If that is confirmed by wider random testing, then everything we thought we knew about covid-19 will have to be reassessed."-johnflubs

Thank you for admitting that Trump has so far failed to insure widespread testing at adequate levels across the U.S..

Until we have that information, we must act according to standard pandemic response protocol. Stop politicizing the nonpartisan science.

And when we finally do get adequate testing, it could just as easily show that the epidemiologists were right in their response to the virus. You don't know, yet you keep posting as though you do know. You continue to ignore the current science in favor of mere partisan politics.

And I predict you will return to continue to do just that very soon. You just can't fix stupid.

Re: Why is the whole country still locked down?

Posted: Sun May 10, 2020 5:59 pm
by johnforbes
The US has tested more than any other place.

You don't need to test everybody, but to just do more of the randomized testing done in CA, NY, NJ, and elsewhere, which suggested far, far wider asymptomatic spread (perhaps 85 times more).

Everybody was slow on covid.

Fauci said Feb 17 the risk was "minuscule."

On Feb 24, Pelosi was strolling Chinatown and inviting people to come there*.


________________________________________
* Poor choice of words given Clown's tawdry, tainted tenure in Frisco.

Re: Why is the whole country still locked down?

Posted: Sun May 10, 2020 7:58 pm
by RealJustme
Thank you for admitting that Trump has so far failed to insure widespread testing at adequate levels across the U.S.
How do you test for a new virus when scientists are trying to develop tests for it? As it under Trump's leadership tests were rapidly developed resulting in more test than the whole world combined. We are the envy of other countries as to how this new flu has been handled, especially over States led by conservative leaders. Our liberals Eastern States are our only embarrassments. New York's liberal leadership alone, has led their State to more deaths than most countries.

Re: Why is the whole country still locked down?

Posted: Sun May 10, 2020 8:16 pm
by elklindo69
Donald Trump's claim that US tested more than all countries combined is Pants on Fire wrong

Responding to weeks of criticism over his administration’s COVID-19 response, President Donald Trump claimed at a White House briefing that the United States has well surpassed other countries in testing people for the virus.

"We’ve tested more than every country combined," Trump said April 27.

It was a variation on claims he had made April 24, as well as on Twitter the day after — when he said the United States had tested "more than any other country in the world, and even more than all major countries combined."

The president has made a habit of exaggerating the United States’ capacity for COVID-19 diagnostic testing. But the health system has ramped up its testing since its slow start during the first weeks of the American outbreak. So we wanted to check back. How many people here have been tested? And has the U.S. tested more people than "every country combined"?

We emailed the White House for comment but never heard back, so we turned to the data. Trump’s claim didn’t stand up to scrutiny.

In raw numbers, the United States has tested more people than any other individual country — but nowhere near more than "every country combined" or, as he said in his tweet, more than "all major countries combined."

Regardless, raw test numbers aren’t a meaningful metric in gauging the nation’s coronavirus response. When you factor in population size — which experts say is essential in understanding how well we are doing — the U.S. still falls short.

The numbers
We consulted a few independent estimates, all of which were recommended to us by global health experts: the COVID Tracking Project, Worldometer and Our World in Data.

All of them place the U.S. total above 5 million tests — the figures range between 5.59 and 5.7 million. And it is correct that no other country has run so many diagnostic tests. But that’s where any semblance of accuracy ends.

A White House report on global testing — which sources its numbers from Our World in Data — notes that the United States has done more testing than the combined totals of Australia, Austria, Canada, France, India, Italy, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, Sweden and the United Kingdom. (That addition checks out.)

But those are hardly all the world’s "major countries" — let alone "every country." And to argue the list is exhaustive is absurd, experts said -- especially since it doesn’t include Germany and Spain, which are among Europe’s biggest economies. Additionally, Germany’s robust testing strategy has been credited with its low coronavirus death rate and Russia, also not on that list, is obviously an important player on the world stage.

And when you look at European countries alone — which again, is far short of what he claimed — Trump’s comparison quickly falls apart.

The Worldometer data shows that, when you add up the number of tests run in Russia, Germany and Italy, the total lands around 6.72 million. You could also tally the number of tests run in Spain, Italy, France, Germany and the U.K. Both Worldometer and Our World in Data place that total above 6 million. Either way, it’s more than what the U.S. has done.

Big picture, a truly exhaustive sum of testing by "every country" or even "all major countries" would generate higher numbers.

A meaningful metric?
Trump is also fixating on the wrong figures, global health experts said.

"The highest number of raw tests in and of itself is not meaningful for any particular country or location within a country," said Jennifer Kates, a vice president at the Kaiser Family Foundation. (Kaiser Health News is an editorially independent program of the foundation.)

The United States has a far bigger population than many of the "major countries" Trump often mentions. So it could have run far more tests but still have a much larger burden ahead than do nations like Germany, France or Canada.

There are other useful metrics: for one, how many people tested positive for COVID-19 compared with the overall number of people tested. Another useful measure is the per capita rate of testing, or the percentage of the nation’s population that has been tested for the virus.

On both counts, the United States still underperforms.

Hanage pointed out that Germany, Ireland, Belgium and Canada have all tested a much larger percentage of the population than the United States has.

Arguably the more important metric, Hanage said, is the percentage of positive test results. A low percentage indicates a nation is aggressively testing, while a higher percentage suggests the country is testing only very sick people — increasing the likelihood that its tracking system is missing cases of infection, undercounting how many people are COVID-positive. And by this measure, the United States fares far worse than a number of countries, including Canada and Germany.

As Kates put it, "increasing the number of tests is important, but a raw number of tests doesn’t tell you much" about what’s needed, or how well the country is faring.

Our ruling
Trump claimed that the United States has "tested more than every country combined."

There is no reasonable way to conclude that the American system has run more diagnostics than "all other major countries combined." Just by adding up a few other nations’ totals, you can quickly see Trump’s claim fall apart.

Plus, focusing on the 5 million figure distracts from the real issue — by any meaningful metric of diagnosing and tracking, the United States is still well behind countries like Germany and Canada.

The president’s claim is not only inaccurate but also ridiculous. We rate it Pants on Fire!

Re: Why is the whole country still locked down?

Posted: Mon May 11, 2020 11:20 am
by johnforbes
Elkin, pause a moment and think.

You do NOT need to test more, but to do more random testing to ascertain whether we really have national wide asymptomatic spread.

Such spread is GOOD, not bad as the dumb media outlets think, because it means we are on the road to wide antibodies and herd immunity.

Re: Why is the whole country still locked down?

Posted: Mon May 11, 2020 3:03 pm
by RealJustme
Testing that would be helpful would be testing for those who have had the virus, testing for it, unless you're sick is a waste of time. You can test negative today but catch it tomorrow, which means you would have to test every American every day until we insure no Americans have it...we would then need to seal our borders and let NO ONE enter forever. In that case testing everyone would "eventually" eliminate the virus in the United States.

Re: Why is the whole country still locked down?

Posted: Mon May 11, 2020 3:56 pm
by johnforbes
True.

The testing I support, for people with zero symptoms, would be more random testing such as that which revealed 50 to 85 times wider asymptomatic spread than previously assumed.

It may well be that America got covid in November 2019, and that many, many more people are asymptomatic.

Already, estimates are the covid's mortality rate is no worse than a bad regular flu seasons.

But...we have THIRTY THREE MILLION UNEMPLOYED and we have already spent TWO AND A HALF TRILLION.

Re: Why is the whole country still locked down?

Posted: Mon May 11, 2020 6:38 pm
by elklindo69
Trump says that people don't need to get tested if they feel good....but Trump goes and goes and gets tested every day.